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World War III by YNot1989 World War III by YNot1989
Houghton Mifflin Social Studies
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Chapter 14: The Third World War
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Dark Red: Turkey and Japan
Majenta: Coalition Nations
Pink: Neutral Prior to 2052
Dark Blue: The Alliance
Light Blue: Officially Neutral, Alliance Supporters
Grey Green: Neutral

The Third World War began in earnest on November 23rd, 2050 with the Japanese coordinated assault on America's Battle Star Network and domestic air bases. The attack crippled the Alliance's space systems and allowed for Turkey to begin a wider assault on the Polish Bloc. and India.

Using what little air power remained, and bolstering their diminished space forces with secretly stockpiled satellite systems he US launched a series of strikes on Japanese air and naval bases on the home islands. For the next year Southern Europe would be invaded by the Turks who would eventually spread as far as southern Russia and Poland itself.

Desperate for aid, Poland begs the US to launch an attack directly on Turkey, but the US cannot abide with its diminished forces. Working with the British, the US eventually is able to launch a devastating strike on Turkey, though taking heavy losses on their own side.

By 2052 Germany is approached by the Turks, promising them control over Eastern Europe while they promise to not spread farther than the Balkans. German enters the war with France and launches a western front against Poland. Attacked from all sides, the US is forced to send direct ground forces to the Poles via St. Petersburg meeting the Germans and the Turks to stop their advancement toward Warsaw. Scorched Earth Tactics by the Poles buy the Americans and British forces time to set up forward operations.

By 2053 the US has launched a new Battle Star network (for now consisting of only a single next gen Battle Star), and a next-gen fleet of hypersonic UCAVs that level Coalition military forces. The Germans and French are pushed out of Poland, while the Turks are pushed back over the Carpathians and into the Balkans, while China and Korea expel the Japanese from mainland Asia. A hasty treaty is pushed through in Geneva ending the conflict, but granting Japan and Turkey their sovereignty, and Turkey a sphere of influence in the Islamic World. Poland is furious at the American refusal not to destroy the Turks once and for all, but they are left with an empire close of their 17th century holdings. Britain now dominates a thoroughly stagnated Atlantic Europe. The most controversial section of the treaty is the article providing that only America will have access to militarize space, while other countries will only be able to have commercial activity.

Death Toll: 50,000

**This scenario was conceived by STRATFOR founder, and geopolitical/economic analyst George Friedman. I did my best to illustrate his very interesting scenario which you can read about in great detail in his books: "The Next 100 Years," and the "Next Decade"
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:iconelsqiubbonator:
ElSqiubbonator Featured By Owner Dec 10, 2014
Do you actually believe this is what the future is going to be like, or is there anything that's happened since the book was written that contradicts the predictions it contains?
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Dec 10, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
I've maintained since the beginning that Friedman is drastically underestimating the impact of mankind's settlement of space, and that his dismissive attitude towards climate change is fundamentally flawed (though his reasons are certainly better than most conservatives). But yes, I think a war between the US and a Japanese-Turkish alliance will happen much in the way he described it. We're already seeing the beginnings of this trend with Japan's increasingly proactive activities against China and North Korea, and Turkey now becoming a state with a strong Presidency and pressure from the US to be the pillar of the Arab world, and Poland is already receiving military aid from the US that is only highlighting the disparity between the US and Atlantic Europe in the face of a resurgent Russia.
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:iconelsqiubbonator:
ElSqiubbonator Featured By Owner 6 days ago
What impact might that have on American culture? I mean, Japanese culture has integrated itself into American culture to a large extent now. If there was a war with Japan, would every American who drives a Toyota, or owns a Playstation, or reads Japanese manga, become the equivalent of a post-9/11 Muslim? I know that in Friedman's scenario the so-called "World War" kills only 50,000 people, but I should hope that by that point we as a nation have outgrown our more aggressive tendencies?

Also, I must say that I am skeptical about Friedman's scenario "Battlestars". Maybe it's because I'm a space enthusiast, but it has been proven in the past that manned orbital battle stations are not practical as a means of conducting warfare. The Soviets tried in the 1970s, and it didn't really get anywhere. The US, on the other hand, planned to build a sort of mini-space shuttle called the Dyna-Soar, that was supposed to serve as an orbiting spy platform and also sabotage enemy satellites. Back then, satellite photography in real-time was impossible (the film had to literally be dropped down to Earth to be developed), so the idea of military space stations was enticing. But it's not like that anymore. 
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner 6 days ago  Hobbyist Digital Artist
I suspect American culture would reframe certain aspects about its history with Japan and there would be a degree of "symbolic purging," but that's nothing new, every society has done something like that at one point or another. Fortunately, Japan has done a lot of REALLY shitty things in the past and all an Anti-Japanese movement in the US has to do is just say, "Hey remember the Bataan Death March, the Rape of Nanking, Chinese Comfort Women, and the institutionalized racism and sexism in Japanese society? Yeah? Good, fuck those people amiright?" See, easy. And please don't be one of these poor fools who think humans will ever outgrow their humanity. There are few things more human that bashing someone's head in with a rock, but we've just advanced far enough now to control where that aggression goes, we'll never be able to get rid of that violent nature.

The orbital command and control network Friedman describes is nothing like the Soviet Salyut program. Salyut was just the Russian's way to attempt global surveilance without digital imaging, like we did with the KH-9s with unmanned analog tape recovery. Friedman's stations are command and control stations that have taken over for the current US Command Structure. Think about that, the US military is no longer directed from Earth, but rather from space based platforms, the Pentagon is little more than a cubical farm to handle what bureaucracy wasn't converted to computers by the time the Battlestars were launched. And if you think the military isn't moving toward that goal, just look at XS-1, X-37, and the Third Offset Strategy. X-37 might be used as a recoverable spy satellite, it might be a space drone spying on other stations, none of that speculation matters, because its still proving new technologies for military reusable space transport, and that is the first step to moving C2 to space.

In case you haven't figured it out from this rant or my other pieces, I'm not a space enthusiast... I'm an Aerospace Engineer, this is my industry and I make a point of knowing how it works, and the history behind the projects that influence today's programs. That's why I feature space so heavily in my timelines. Thanks for the questions.
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:iconelsqiubbonator:
ElSqiubbonator Featured By Owner 6 days ago
I suppose you're right. We were jackasses in the past, we're jackasses now, and we'll be jackasses in the future. But. . . will things like driving a Toyota or owning a Playstation (assuming those companies exist) be cultural no-nos in Friedman's WW3 scenario?
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner 6 days ago  Hobbyist Digital Artist
The US government will place sanctions against Japan and probably fund some half-hearted, fair weather patriot, "BUY AMERICAN" campaign that will make it difficult to buy Japanese made products and you'll probably take shit for driving a Toyota or whatever, but the only people who will take it seriously will be future-rednecks which I suspect will be some new breed of hipster that no longer understands irony. 
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:iconelsqiubbonator:
ElSqiubbonator Featured By Owner 6 days ago
Also, you seem to be ignoring a big problem with space warfare: Kessler Syndrome. 
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner 6 days ago  Hobbyist Digital Artist
We're already working on debris cleaners.
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(1 Reply)
:iconfanartgalaxy:
FanartGalaxy Featured By Owner Jun 28, 2014
Kinda unrealistic, but very cool. I especial enjoy the gloss, Props!
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:iconnealman11:
NealMan11 Featured By Owner Jun 7, 2014
Germany and France since they are good allies of the US and Germany really doesn't want to be that guy who betrayed others again so France and Germany in my opinion would not join Turkey against Poland even though Germany does hate Poland beyond belief, do you agree?
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