2014: President Obama signs the American Energy Security Act directing more funds than any other country toward renewable energy sources. The bill is pitched as a way to achieve energy independence, but in reality it is intended to deprive the Union state of its main source of income.
2016: Jon Huntsman is elected President of the United States on a campaign of confronting the Union State and the Eurasian Union.
2017: President Huntsman signs the North Atlantic Free Trade Agreement often known as newNAFTA. The law makes it easier to sell American made renewable energy products in Europe.
2018: The US quietly funds nationalist groups within the Union State and the Eurasian Union, causing the Union Army to be stretched thin across Russia.
2020: With Fossil demand falling like a stone, the Union state economy collapses, as its government announces record taxation and austerity measures to fill the void left by their Oil and Natural Gas funds. Rioting breaks out across Moscow and other major cities, while nationalist groups rise up in the interior.
2021: Civil war breaks out in the Union State as a number of Union Army groups defect or desert the bankrupt government. Many flee to the Russian far East. The Eurasian union is formally dissolved the same year.
2022: A military coup sacks Moscow leaving the once proud city in ruins while President Putin seeks exile in Germany. The Union state formally dissolves and separatist forces begin to break away from the country. Poaching is rampant on the Western Border.
2025: The Russian Republic is established around the greater Moscow Metro, NATO forces aid in stabilizing the rump state of a once powerful empire. Vladimir Putin will remain in exile in Germany for the rest of his life.
**This scenario was conceived by STRATFOR founder, and geopolitical/economic analyst George Friedman. I did my best to illustrate his very interesting scenario which you can read about in great detail in his books: "The Next 100 Years," and the "Next Decade"