The great rebellion of Aztlan seemed to be coming to an end by December 2134. The rebel capital was forced to relocate to Phoenix, Arizona after the Union victory at Denver. Utah, an autonomous state in Aztlan, went so far as to sue for a separate peace on May 11; with victories in Texas and California, Aztlan’s few remaining forces were left to prepare Phoenix for siege. As Union forces prepared to surround and capture Phoenix, and perceiving a Union victory as an external threat to Mexican sovereignty, Mexican president Edwin Jaso issued an ultimatum to the US: turn back now or face a larger war. Many northern Mexicans supported Aztlan’s bid for independence, and under the dual citizenship program, the Aztlan rebels were technically Mexican citizens. The US ignored Jaso's ultimatum, and upon entering the outskirts of Phoenix, on December 9, 2132 Mexico detonated its nuclear arsenal along the DMZ to clear a path to invade the American Southwest, killing 10,000 US military personnel during the attack, and destroying the majority of American tactical nuclear weapons. Upon reaching Phoenix, Mexican forces were met with cheers from many citizens and silent awe from those unsure of what this war now means. Bombardment from the Mexican Orbitals, and advanced ground based defense systems severely reduced the American ability to respond, leaving fighting primarily on land and at sea. With US allies and worldwide forces engaging Mexican client states in Eurasia and Africa, few reinforcements could be recalled to defend the homeland, and by the end of 2135 Mexico had advanced as far north as southern Oregon, Idaho, and Colorado.
After pushing US forces as far back as Denver, and destroying the US Naval blockades whilst creating their own around New Orleans and Ecuador, President Jaso arrived in Santa Fe on November 19, 2135, declaring the rebel American states to be Mexican territory and committed to secure the territory lost to the US in the First Mexican American War, almost three centuries ago. Many Mexican-Americans that had supported the Atzlan rebellion were opposed to outright annexation, and formed independent resistance groups, while previously neutral citizens sided with the Union. With Mexico poised for critical victories on the homefront, and US forces tied down abroad, on November 25, 2135, President Lionel Halvidar lifted the self-imposed ban on using bombardment weapons on US territory and began striking Mexican held assets in the South West. Orbital bombardments by Mexico and the US were constantly being interrupted by both sides’ space forces, leaving the fighting on Earth largely to terrestrial forces, but the American bombardment campaign had finally stalled Mexico’s advance.
With their allies advanced stalled in Ecuador after American reinforcements arrived from Machupe and Australia, Mexico began to seek an ally to limit the ability of the US to move forces even further. In a secret meeting in Athens on January 9, 2136, Mexico and Poland agreed to ally against the US, with Mexico guaranteeing Polish dominance over Northern Europe, and Poland agreeing to engage the US directly to limit any movement of potential American forces to reinforce the homeland. On January 25, 2136 Poland entered the war with Mexico pulling the US into a protracted war across the planet. Mexico had also succeeded in a blocade and limited invasion of the Moon, depriving the American war machine of its most immediate source of Helium-3. The blockade, and subsequent invasion of key Lunar assets, were resisted by the US Lunar Guard and local Space Force personnel, but with the majority of US Space Forces committed to Earth Orbit, Luna's forces were only able to limit Mexico's access to Helium-3 supplies and shipyards, rather than retaking them for the US. US forces in the Americas were now left with no hope of reinforcements from abroad and were operating under power rationing, leaving US-Allied forces to operate under Fabian tactics to do little more than slow Mexico’s advance.
As Mexico secured its gains in the Southwest and left American forces stretched thin across the planet supporting their allies, President Halvidar initiated a bold strategy. Just after assuming office and granting statehood to many colonial territories, President Halvidar used his executive powers to seize a fleet of incomplete ships, built by the colonies during the Second Martian Revolution, as vessels of the US Space Force. On August 11th, 2136, Halvidar nationalized the Planetary Guards of the colonies and called them to defend the Homeland in what would become Operation Stardust. The colonies used this secretly constructed fleet to speed toward the Earth to relieve US terrestrial forces. The ships were outfitted in what was the latest in military hardware, including next generation Space Force armor that were capable of re-entry and orbital flight. Mexico detected the fleet on August 24th, and on August 27th the first wave of colonial forces would reach Earth. Hoping to end the war before the American colonials arrived, Mexico launched a daring attack of its own on the US capitol of Washington D.C., detonating a nuclear flare above the city and invading from orbit on August 26th. With the remaining domestic naval detachments engaged with Mexico in the Gulf, and Army forces fighting to hold onto territory in the Rockies, the capital was largely undefended. Mexico deployed a force of 20,000 from their Orbitals, in a battle against 5,000 US reservists that would ultimately be a turning point in the war.
USA still being a superpower after two centuries? Bullshit.
Is the moon colonized, or terraformed? 100 years isn't enough for a celestial body to be terraformed. It takes several thousand years.
And America isn't going anywhere for quite some time. This empire is only getting started.
I don't see how Canada is merging with America anytime soon.
It can't be an European century due to underpopulation and it's rapid aging. It's either an Asian or African century.
No, terraforming is a process that takes thousands of years. You would need to create an atmosphere and an artificial magnetosphere, or else the atmosphere would erode. Then there's water. Then we need oxygen. This process takes thousands of years.
America can only fight military midgets, of course, why do they display such hostility to nations like Cuba, North Korea etc?
I'm not saying America is not a strong country, but the economic superpowers of the future, I mean ECONOMIC superpowers, are India and China.
2. Wouldn't Brazilian citizens revolt against the Mexican puppet state, to reinstate the previous Brazilian government?
3. Wouldn't the American people form militias using local and captured tanks, and weapons to fight a guerrilla war against Mexico, to protect the American homeland, maybe even with government required militia training?
2. There are anti-Mexican rebels, but Mexico expected that and fights to maintain chaos in Brazil with a minimum force, rather than expend the effort to conquer Brazil entirely (which they no isn't possible). They simply want Brazil out of the game during their contest with the Americans.
3.Most of the territory Mexico controls isn't really anti-Mexican enough to support what few resistance movements exist. Its the former territory of the Aztlan rebels mostly. BTW tanks have been unmanned for about 100 years in this timeline, and the Mexican military is outfitted with powered exoskeletons that can fly and shake off 50 caliber rounds like they're a bee sting.
Wouldn't the DC citizenry, which must number in millions by now, rise up against the Mexicans in the battle of DC, I mean I can understand Atzlan not really wanting to, but DC? Also with the citizenry's help, reservists could probably hold out by the reservists killing the Mexicans and the citizens taking their weapons, or just normal home defense weapons could work in large numbers, but as history has shown time and time again: you do NOT fuck with the citizenry because no matter how advanced you are, they will overwhelm you, I would guess that the number of DC citizens willing to fight would be around 250,000 to 350,000 at best so 20,000 hyper advanced soldiers versus 5,000 opposing hyper advanced soldiers and over 150,000 average joes with guns. Who do you think would win?
Let me put you in the mindset of your average DC civilian on the day of the Mexican attack...
Its about 10 at night, you've been rushed into a shelter beneath the nation's capitol after news broke that the Mexicans were attacking US military platforms in geostationary orbit above DC, and were preparing to make planetfall in your hometown. A nuclear flare has gone off, wiping out just about every defense system DC has save for its network of shelters that have been built up over centuries of invasion, terrorist threat, hyper-sonic strike and flood control, where you are presently packed like a sardine next to hundreds of other civilians, cops, and EMTs, all just as terrified as you are. You've seen the livestreams and experience feeds of the siege of Denver and the Battle of Phoenix, you hear the bombardment artillery bursts above you as Mexican Orbital Shock Commandos descend. You know what they look like. 7 feet tall, custom chassis encased in armor that adds another 6 inches and enough death to level a city block. Neural interfaced to dozens of drones that are coming down with them, along with nanodrones on their own bodies, microartillery, defensive lasers, wrist mounted flak cannons, and the big railcannons they carry, not to different from the M71s the US marines have. You think of the civilian with the old wire-gun you saw get ripped to shreds by a Mexican Army officer on the experience feed from Austin, remembering how they had to slow the image to less than 100x normal speed just so you could appreciate how he didn't even need his service knife to turn a man to a red mist in .13 seconds, and barely slow down before flying 800 meters into the sky to rejoin the fight. You look down at your little 9 mil that you bought after that mugger held you up in China Town last year.
Now what do you decide to do after all that?
I see the possibility for bias in the next 100 years, but the problem is that the US is spending a lot of time and money in Poland and Eastern Europe to shore up a defense against Russia, which is now in a confrontation with the US. China is starting to curtail its growth-for-the-sake -of-growth policies to counter major problems in its financial system, which anyone with eyes can see will lead to a major economic downturn. And Mexico's proximity to US investment for cheap labor, access to two oceans, and a linguistic kinship with a large portion of their immediate periphery, gives them the potential to become a major power by the end of the century. Climate change, while a disastrous prospect, won't unset these players from some of the major points of his timeline: The Turks are making a comeback even now, the Poles are essential to US interests in Europe, the US is far too ingrained with the international economic system to be unset by a sudden and solvable problem like global warming, but a power with access to resources, people, and trade routs (like a Mexican backed coalition) could pose such a threat.
Anyway that's my two cents. I disagree with Friedman on some of the topics that he's ignored, but generally agree with his assessment of the situation thus-far. I could be wrong though.