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2112: Balkanization by YNot1989 2112: Balkanization by YNot1989

During the turn of the last century, there was a sense of possibility among humanity, a sense that history was coming to an end, and prosperity would come to all. The turn of the 22nd Century did not bring with it such feelings of hope and wonder; not on Earth anyway. On Earth, there was a persistent feeling of decay, the eroding of borders, a sense of entropy in the global economy. The mass deportations of the 2080s had stopped the bleeding, but a purely capitalistic economy with inexpensive, ubiquitous robotic labor now seems destined for stagnation. The population problem has gone, Earth seems to have capped out at 11 billion people, fluctuating by a billion depending on the rate of immigration to Mars.

The Mediterranean Union is gone, crushed by populist uprisings after food shortages caused by embargoes from the colonies, bitter over the Guardiola Incident, and a war in East Africa between Mexican and American proxies. With their autocratic governments gone, the former MU was ripe for poaching by America and Mexico, with each side hoping to block the other from total control over Europe’s access to African and space resources. The shortages had also spread to northern Europe, leading once great nations to collapse into anarchy. France was partly saved after an American military regime restored order, but Germany completely fractured thanks to some help from the Poles. Some think Poland’s recent prowess for engineering chaos, like the civil war in Iran that let them unify Azerbaijan, came from the Mexican school of diplomacy. Brazil was quick to capitalize on the chaos in East Africa, and expanded its alliance in Western Africa by supporting a number of factions to carve out their own sphere of influence.

While Europe attempts to recover from its most recent wave of troubles, in Asia, the Mex-American Cold War has torn the United Federation of China asunder. Already imploding from a population being drained by the colonies, and with regionalism on the rise, the Beijing government was ripe for being overthrown. Mexico sparked a number of revolutions against the Federal Chinese Government in the industrial south of the country, and after a short, but costly civil war, some order has been restored and a provisional republic governed from American-run Shanghai has been propped up. With similar uprisings in South East Asia and Indonesia, America’s grip on Pacific trade, seems to be slipping, and Mexican ships and aircraft are now able to traverse the globe. While the Mexican people are largely indifferent to their government’s ability to engineer problems for the Americans abroad, they are enamored by their greatest insult to the Americans yet: the establishment of Mexico’s first space colonies. Built from captured asteroids and locked at L1 and L2, these giant habitats are the size of some of the larger O’Neil ships. While they are only armed with asteroid defense lasers and a minimal security force, these stations effectively abolish America’s ban on all military activity in space outside of its own.

While Earth continues to implode, the colonies seem to have come to ignore Earth, pushing further out as terraforming efforts across the system begin to produce ever more promising results. Mars’s population is well on its way to 2 billion people, and is the political capitol of the ITC. Venus can now support terrestrial fauna after nearly a century of terraforming; its great Launch Loops repurposed as a means of travel, having completed their decades long task of reversing Venus’s rotation to a 24 hour day. The three Jovian Ice Moons support expansive subsurface colonies and have gotten rich from the export of hydrogen from Jupiter to Venus, bolstered by a fishing industry that provides the system with the rarest of delicacies. Titan, still being drained of Nitrogen,  is now importing oxygen in some territories, and excess rock left over from the construction of habitats, provides additional landmass to the great moon. Triton has become rich off of the demand for Helium-3, and is importing resources from across the whole system to build its habitat up for all the residents required to support its industry, and the Tel-bn refugees and their children that have come to call the moon home. Pluto's satellite Hydra has been converted into the largest O'Neil ship in history to provide terraforming supplies for Epsilon Eridani-c. 20,000 colonists will sleep for 20 years as a complex biosphere matures on the flight to their new home. And back at Earth, Luna and the Orbitals watch their nearest neighbor tear itself apart, banning the creation of intelligent artificial life forms, and driving all manner of outcasts to the colonies. Where the colonies only knew betrayal after the Guardiola incident, a new feeling for Earth is beginning to emerge int the colonies: pity.

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:iconthetexasranger:
TheTexasRanger Featured By Owner Jan 29, 2015
Before Brazil was invaded by Mexico did they have hopes of eventually annexing the Portuguese speaking nations or are they not as imperialistic as Mexico and the U.S.?
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Jan 30, 2015  Hobbyist Digital Artist
They were talking about buying a few ports in West Africa and Macau, but that's about it.
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:iconkitfisto1997:
KitFisto1997 Featured By Owner Jan 10, 2015  Hobbyist Filmographer
Why did the US anschluss the Commonwealth Nations?
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Jan 10, 2015  Hobbyist Digital Artist
anshluss? You mean annex? Check out some of my older maps in the Second Renaissance folder to gain a better sense of what happened, but the short version is: Climate change decimated the Anglosphere, most of the Brits, Aussies and Kiwis move stateside, the First Nations got rich and seceded from Canada, an NGO restores the poles, war breaks out in Canada as the first nations move south, the US intervenes, says, "Fuck it," and annexes Canada and the rest of the anglosphere because they basically own them by that point anyway.
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:iconelsqiubbonator:
ElSqiubbonator Featured By Owner Dec 17, 2014
Are you CERTAIN this is going to happen?
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Dec 17, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Not in every detail. I'm confident that we'll see a slow breakup of nation-states throughout the next century or so while the western hemisphere continues to exploit its position to maintain internal stability. 
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:iconelsqiubbonator:
ElSqiubbonator Featured By Owner Dec 17, 2014
I agree in that broad sense, but trying to predict with such accurate detail so long a time into the future is, in my opinion, futile.
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Dec 17, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Which is why there's such a thing as Artistic license.
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:iconelsqiubbonator:
ElSqiubbonator Featured By Owner Dec 17, 2014
And I don't have a problem with that, as long as you clearly acknowledge when you're using it.
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Dec 18, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Its marked Sci-fi, its a particularly dry piece of Sci-fi that tries its best to predict major events, but its still sci-fi. I'm not gonna spoon feed my readers something that is already obvious.
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:iconelsqiubbonator:
ElSqiubbonator Featured By Owner Dec 18, 2014
OK.
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:iconthetexasranger:
TheTexasRanger Featured By Owner Nov 18, 2014
So how did we get Australia
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Nov 18, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Australia was rendered all but uninhabitable once they sea levels rose upwards of 7 then 30 meters. This was after their drought had entered its second decade, so the continent was slowly but surely depopulated until an NGO called the Earth Working Group (a bunch of terraforming experts and companies from the Mars project) started its geoengineering projects to return sea levels to pre-anthropocene levels. But even after that Australia was still basically a 3rd world country. The US had maintained its precense there because of its strategic importance. Its very close to equitorial launch sites and the eventual space elevator that provided access to the New Guinea Orbital Command Station, and eventual greater pacific space battle groups, and it is one of the better staging points to operate in the Indian Ocean basin. So after the US ended up occupying the rest of Canada after the First Nations War of the 2060s, and was functionally the government of the United Kingdom and Ireland (who had been devistated by the flood and saw over 70% of their population emigrate to the US and Canada), it was decided that it would be easier to just annex these territories outright. Its known as of the 22nd Century as the Annexation of the Anglosphere.
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:iconthetexasranger:
TheTexasRanger Featured By Owner Nov 16, 2014
So what pacific isles are under US control and/or are states, I see that northern mariana islands and guam are still under US control.
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Nov 16, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Pretty much all of them. They're largely depopulated since most of them were abandoned during the rising sea levels of the mid 21st Century, so there's no great state of Pacific or anything like that. Guam almost got admitted as a state after Puerto Rico, but its back to being a territory after most of it was lost to the floods. Hawaii gained control of the Midway Islands and Johnson Atoll, and a number of islands that weren't transferred to Australia are under a Greater Pacific Insular Area.
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:icongreavyard:
Greavyard Featured By Owner Oct 29, 2014
:happybounce: :happybounce: :happybounce: :happybounce: :happybounce: :happybounce: :happybounce: :happybounce: :happybounce:  GO BRASILIAN REICH GO

Thank you dud Clap

Now remove hamburguer Rage 
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:iconmenapia:
menapia Featured By Owner Oct 9, 2014
+fav 
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:iconsatoshi-vampire190:
Satoshi-Vampire190 Featured By Owner Jul 19, 2014
Wonderfulll More  espeific...the Mexico rol in the  external poltic....and  his rol  how  "a new evil empire" or  a new URSS....not very sure. mmmm I don´t what nation was of simlar actitude against US. 

For othe  sides...the  situation of  Brasil in the  Africa-west, is similar  to US in the middle orient (Israel ) mm o  this  is my view point.
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Jul 19, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
I don't mean to portray Mexico as evil, simply dynamic and disruptive to the established order crafted by the US-Alliance system.
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:icongatemonger:
gatemonger Featured By Owner Jun 25, 2014
How likely is it that nukes will be used in your war? What would drive that decision making process?
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Jun 25, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Well the Mexican-American border is mined with tactical nukes on both sides, so I'm gonna say VERY likely. Strategic nukes aren't really a thing anymore though, as laser defense systems are now so good that anything big enough to carry a nuclear bomb will get shot out of the sky, and the US and Mexico have orbital weapons that are far more effective than simply vaporizing the enemy's entire society.
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:iconmicrowavedreams:
microwavedreams Featured By Owner Jun 17, 2014
How close to collapse is Earth civilization? And what would you say is the largest threat that may cause it?
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Jun 17, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Earth civilization is only a few decades away from collapse. Its stopped the bleeding in the 2080s, but that has led to stagnation. By the lage 2120s the planet will be in crisis mode as economies implode in on themselves as the planet reaches a kind of single world standard of living, that can't realistically be met, compounded by decades of stagflation.
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:iconmicrowavedreams:
microwavedreams Featured By Owner Jun 17, 2014
So is collapse where you are ultimately taking this timeline? 
Or is that something I'm going to have to wait and see?

Truly this is a bittersweet "second renaissance" 
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Jun 17, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Wait and see.
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:iconjpalacio:
jpalacio Featured By Owner Jun 29, 2014
is the USA collapse as well
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:iconmicrowavedreams:
microwavedreams Featured By Owner Jun 15, 2014
I remember you mentioning that the largest city in the US was Denver. Is that still the case? In fact, what are the top 5 largest cities in the US and world as a whole?
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Jun 15, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Denver is no longer the largest, that title now belongs to Dallas (Fort Hood was formally annexed by now).

---
Largest in the US

1. Dallas
2. Denver
3. New York
4. Los Angeles
5. Toronto

----
Largest in the World

1. Delhi
2. Mexico City
3. Beijing
4. Dallas
5. São Paulo

NOTE: New Richmond on Mars is the largest city in the Solar System.
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:iconmicrowavedreams:
microwavedreams Featured By Owner Jun 16, 2014
About how many people does Dallas have? And has the massive urban sprawl between Philly, NYC and Boston made serious considerations to becoming a unified city? 
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Jun 16, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Dallas has a population of about 26 million people, most other major world metroplexes have either declined or not grown much in population as more people head for the colonies, Tokyo isn't even in the top ten anymore. BosWash was more or less destroyed during the flooding of the 2030s and 40s, and after the sea levels returned to normal, those cities were individually restored, but much of the infill between them was rewilded. 
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:iconmicrowavedreams:
microwavedreams Featured By Owner Jun 12, 2014
So its pretty clear that war between the US and Mexico is inevitable. Where in relation to this war will your next map be? Before, during, or after? 
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Jun 12, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
The next map will be just prior to the outbreak of the war, and then I'll do a couple of more focused maps that take place during different phases of the war.
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:iconmplithid:
mplithid Featured By Owner Jun 10, 2014
Sorry, while I'm here I should ask if there's any potential for disintegration within the Polish Bloc?  I looked up a map of the river systems of Europe and realized that the Polish Bloc has very few economic ties to Poland-proper.  Its cohesiveness seems to rest mostly on its military strength (and intelligence services?) much like the USSR's did, and they seem to occupy eerily similar geographic positions (minus siberia).

Is the Bloc very economically prosperous or are they just more prosperous than Western Europe?
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Jun 10, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
The Polish Bloc is a lot like the Soviet Union, but largely in this regard: It looks strong on the outside, but its one crisis away from falling apart on the inside. They're more prosperous than most, but in this era that's not saying much.
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:iconmplithid:
mplithid Featured By Owner Jun 10, 2014
Why isn't India a dominant regional power on par with Brazil or Poland?  

With Pakistan fragmented, I would expect it to extend its power over the subcontinent, influence Tibet as a buffer, and then commence to build a navy as much as possible since there would be no other regional powers to keep its attention focused on the subcontinent.

Its internal state divisions are chronic economic problems which prevent development.  Have they become political problems?  And if so, what has happened to that underlying vein of India nationalism that currently works as a countervailing force against regionalism?  Has it simply weakened over time or has there been some kind of sea-change because of an intervening event?




Second question:

Has Mexico's influence over the other countries of the Rio de la Plata drainage basin created friction between it and Brazil or is Brazil simply biding its time, and if it is biding its time may I ask why it is doing so?  



As always, great work.
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Jun 10, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
India is divided internally, and geographically isolated, with mountains to the North and West, Jungle everywhere else, and an ocean to its south that can only reach foreign markets by way of some very tight shipping corridors. India is a major power, but its greatest achievement of the 21st Century was becoming one of the main pools for immigrant labor and space colonists.

It helped fight the Turks in WWIII, but the US has been carful to ensure that China and Iran keep it in check, and India keeps them in check. Separatist sentiment has been growing in recent years, spurred by Mexico, and Indian Nationalism died out in the 2080s, largely due to generations of the nationalist era dying and the ease with which someone can set up a country thanks to modern technologies. 

Brazil normally just plays Mexico and the US off of eachother, while carving a niche out for itself in the South Atlantic, but as of late Mexico and its allies have been making moves to try and support some separatist groups and revolutionaries in the region and in Brazil's core.
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:iconmicrowavedreams:
microwavedreams Featured By Owner Jun 8, 2014
Does any country on earth have a growing population? And how many people does America have? How easy is space travel for the Average American?
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Jun 8, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
A number of countries have growing populations, but very slow growing. The US has about 650 million people living on Earth. Space travel is much easier for everyone, take a shuttle from your local air and space port, or ride up one of the six space elevators. Once you're in orbit, you can get around the solar system by a transport ship, or just wait for an O'Neil ship (O'Neil Cylinder-like spacecraft, many kilometers in length with an internal biosphere) to come past Earth and hook up with it until you arrive where you want to go.
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:iconquantumbranching:
QuantumBranching Featured By Owner Jun 7, 2014
This has been quite interesting so far. How is India doing?
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Jun 7, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Better by today's standards, but not as internally united. India is the most populous country in the world at 900 million people and falling (its one of the main sources of colonists for Mars), and is a top tier economy.
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:iconmicrowavedreams:
microwavedreams Featured By Owner Jun 7, 2014
Would you say neocolonialism will continue to be a growing trend in this timeline? That is, will we see vast tracts of Europe, Africa and Asia annexed by these powers, or just more of whats been seen, with little (official) claims here and there? 
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Jun 7, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Its not really a trend when its a recent series of emergency measures... but yes you will see more of it in the next map. The US will be trying to plug leaks in its alliance system across the planet, while Mexico makes more small gains that tie the US down in Eurasia.
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:icongatemonger:
gatemonger Featured By Owner Jun 7, 2014
What happened to China here? You mention a blockade of China's coast just because they were switching economic models to QEM, and the map shows the south balkanized and the US owns Shanghai. As well, why is the US directly taking territory now in China and Europe's mainland? And I'm curious what life in the Brazilian and Mexican spheres of influence is like. Brazil penetrating Francophone Africa strikes me as intriguing.
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Jun 7, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
The United Federation of China (the government set up partly  by the US during WWIII) collapsed from the blockades (they were already suffering internal problems due to unemployment and social unrest). Mexico supported a series of uprisings and separatist movements to secure territory, and the US took over Hong Kong and Shanghai to secure its own economic interests, and re-establish a coherent state. Same situation in France.

Brazil's allies in Africa are still French/English speaking (mostly English these days), though Portuguese is a required second language now (same story with Spanish in the Mexican sphere). Brazil is mostly setting up buisness interests around the arable regions near the new African Megalakes and river basins, and transferring weapons and technology to secure those interests. They have deals with the local governments of the coastal countries to set up naval bases and air bases. Mexico has a similar setup, but they take it one step further and set up an intelligence community inside these countries to conduct cyber-warfare and espionage against neighboring powers. The infusion of foreign money is a big benefit for these countries, and Mexico's strategy of supporting regionalists has helped greatly.
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:icongatemonger:
gatemonger Featured By Owner Jun 7, 2014
So Mexico's campaign of breaking China was just to lessen US hegemony in the region. Got it. Can't wait to see the next maps.
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Jun 7, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Well, lessen US hegemony, and take advantage of Southern Chinese industrial production for themselves.
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:iconheliosmegistos:
HeliosMegistos Featured By Owner Jun 3, 2014
So from the sounds of things warfare is kind of like how it's depicted in Gundam in that it's high speed combat all over the place and they shoot at eachother as they pass only with out the massive suits ?
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Jun 3, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Basically, but there are also various drones and projectiles flying around too.
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:iconheliosmegistos:
HeliosMegistos Featured By Owner Jun 3, 2014
Figures that would happen given how common drones are becoming. I take it each soldier is a bit like the concept for Warmachine/Iron Patriot that Tony Stark's rival tried to sell in Iron Man 2 eg one suit controlling a whole range of drones only they probably aren't fully automated suits like in the film right ?
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Jun 3, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
The drones aren't humanoids though, they're little weapons platforms, each about the size of a golf cart, carrying missiles, countermeasures, lasers arrays, railguns, whatever is needed for their loadout.
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