Shop Mobile More Submit  Join Login
2094: Uneasy Truce by YNot1989 2094: Uneasy Truce by YNot1989
History repeats itself... until the underlying problem is resolved. For the United States and Mexico, the problem has been a lack of natural land borders allowing for a large, and until very recently, undefended borderland. Following the closing of the border and the mass deportations of the 2080s, Mexico saw their northern borderland flooded with displaced expatriates who were too poor and uneducated to qualify for Mars colonial status. Mexico's economy suffered greatly and began positioning troops on the border to aid with the resettlement of their citizens. The US, already using the National Guard to patrol the South West and relocate people to Mexico, took this as an escalating threat and in turn, increased surveillance and drone flights over Mexico. In 2088, the Mexicanos Libres party was established in the US on behalf of the citizens of the South West who were fortunate enough to avoid deportation, and advocated for the rights of Mexican immigrants who had been living in the US for generations. Everyone was convinced war would break out on the US-Mexican border, which is why what happened next was such a shock, and is largely blamed for perpetuating the underlying problem of US-Mexican relations for nearly forty years. Mexico could not feasibly settle its people in the territory they already controlled, while still maintaining a large and dynamic economy. To resolve this they needed to relocate these undereducated laborers to areas of the country that needed their skills most. Many stayed on the border, but 30% were diverted to Central America and with the stroke of a pen by the Mexican President, the region was incorporated into Mexico as the largest economic zone in the nation's history. Central America had been deep in the Mexican sphere of influence for over a century, to the point that the annexation seemed like a formality, but the US took it as a direct threat to their space elevator in Ecuador, and their trade rout through Panama. The US invaded Panama to secure the Canal Zone, and war broke out almost immediately afterwards.

The fighting was concentrated predominantly in Central America and South America, with a proxy fighting in Africa and the South Pacific. Mexico was believed by the US to be an easy target, but try as they might they could not push them out of Panama. Mexican allies in South America were almost as successful at disrupting US interests, driving the Pacific Fleet of the US Navy to stay fixed around Ecuador for much of the war. The conflict dragged on, with neither side willing to directly strike the other on the US-Mexican border, as the US didn't want to risk loosing the South West, and Mexico didn't want to risk a larger war. The war was fought to a stalemate after only two years, and in 2092 the US and Mexico declared a ceasefire. At the Sao Paulo conference, the US agreed to recognize Mexico's claim to Central America, save for Panama and Belize, which were admitted as states into the Union, while Patagonia and Mapuche were granted independence from Argentina and Chile, after American forces in those countries staged revolutions to further block Mexico's naval capabilities. Neither side really won the war, but shortly after the end of the conflict, Mexico began a policy to more fully integrate its sphere and counter the US in the border lands using a policy of Ciudadano Expatriado (Expatriate Citizens). Mexico created a series of "Virtual States," and allowed people of Mexican decent living abroad to vote for representatives in the Mexican Congress. As the Mexicanos Libres Party evolved into a regionalist party, it quickly became clear that while Mexico did not win the war any more than the US, they have a stronger claim to the South West.

While America and Mexico licked their respective wounds Eurasia and Africa fractured as the majority of their populations clamored to leave Earth to seek new lives on Mars, who's population now stood at over 1 billion citizens. Fueled by the great O'Neil ships that cycle between the two worlds, carrying millions of people at a time, Mars was now the most populated colony in the Sol System. As the de facto capital of the colonies, united by a post-scarcity economic system governed by a network of quantum computers, Mars's standard of living had become the highest in the system, having passed the United States on Earth in 2093. Still they are denied equal citizenship within the United States, satiated only by the Rosalind Amendment, which granted Mars the right to form Territories and send resident commissioners to Congress. Meanwhile, in Earth orbital and Lunar colonies, harassment and terrorism by the Guardiola Foundation continues despite continued protests to Congress and the Mediterranean Union that harbors them, despite public condemnations of the Guardiolas. The Mediterranean nations are, like much of Earth, more concerned with local affairs. Protected by an alliance with Mexico, and prosperous and aristocratic, and does not believe itself threatened by any local power, to say nothing of the American space colonies.

The exodus of people from Earth to Mars was already relieving the strain on a number of powers with surplus populations, however it was also opening up opportunity for division, as the "silent majority," of many nations left, a power vacuum was left open for regionalists and separatist groups. Western Europe was the first to suffer from this, as its well educated, but economically stagnant population fled for the new opportunities of the colonies, leaving their home countries to disintegrate into smaller, bickering nations. Turkey, already weakend from decades of trying to govern many unruly territories, was torn asunder as many of its citizens left to start new lives on Mars and Titan. China saw the largest transfer of citizens to the American space colonies, and despite the power vacuum left by the Turks, they were forced to look inward and secure their borders from separatists groups. The world is breaking apart at the seams, only the Americas seem relatively stable, as two empires look to avoid another major conflict. But the center cannot hold.
Add a Comment:
 
:iconthetexasranger:
So is the name still the United States of AMERICA or was the last part of the name changed after most of the Anglo sphere was annexed by the US?
Reply
:iconsakerti:
Sakerti Featured By Owner May 28, 2014  Hobbyist Writer
How did Guatemala ended up being part of Mexico?
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner May 28, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Central America was already heavily influenced by Mexico by the 2080s, but not particularly populated by comparison, so when the US started deporting people in the South West back to Mexico, Mexico annexed Central America to reduce strain on its population in the North. They also wanted control of trade between the Pacific and Atlantic.
Reply
:iconsakerti:
Sakerti Featured By Owner Edited Jul 12, 2014  Hobbyist Writer
I see, Central America didn't opose any resistance to the Mexican annexation?  Also, are there Central American separatists groups?
Or did many of the Central American nationalists went to Mars?
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Jul 12, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Oh there was resistance, but its basically gone by the 2090s. There are separatists, but Mexico is quite good at controlling movements like that.
Reply
:iconmicrowavedreams:
microwavedreams Featured By Owner May 25, 2014
How closely tied together is the Visegrad Group? 
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner May 25, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Like NATO with elements of the EU.
Reply
:iconmicrowavedreams:
microwavedreams Featured By Owner May 24, 2014
So how is the comparable standard of living in the US to say Mexico? Europe? Brazil? Polish Europe? Africa? just overall how has that developed? I remember reading somewhere that at this point, Central America has a modern day Europe level of high life, while Europe itself is more poor and third world? Does that hold true here?
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner May 24, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
The standard of living in the US has been declining steadily since the late 2070s. It saw a brief uptick in the 2080s, but Earth in general is starting to go to shit. Robotics and the death of most of the baby boomers retirees has reached a point where humans simply aren't needed to perform a lot of jobs anymore. Healthcare is almost completely automated, so is education, manufacturing, and a LOT of law enforcement programs, but resources are stretched thin on Earth due to standards of living becoming a lot more equal as more countries developed. Mexico has a similar standard of living as the US, while Atlantic Europe is collapsing in on itself. Atlantic Europe is poor, but like how Russia is today. Africa is doing better, but they've become the breadbasket and powerplant for Europe, and most of that money is owned by the VERY rich Mediterranean Union, which is extremely wealthy, but horrifically unequal.
Reply
:iconrogueleader1000:
RogueLeader1000 Featured By Owner May 9, 2014
So I guess the idea of European integration is dead in the water then, huh?B-) (Cool) 
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner May 9, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Sadly, yes.
Reply
:iconrogueleader1000:
RogueLeader1000 Featured By Owner May 3, 2014
Does America have a cyberwarfare branch of the armed services?
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner May 3, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
US Cyber Command is already a thing.
Reply
:iconrogueleader1000:
RogueLeader1000 Featured By Owner May 3, 2014
I mean as a separate armed service, not a rough amalgamation of everyone else's cyber warfare units.
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner May 4, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Its not really something that merits its own service. The NSA and CIA are still the primary cyberwarfare departments of the government.
Reply
:iconrogueleader1000:
RogueLeader1000 Featured By Owner May 1, 2014
I find this timeline very interesting and applaud you sir! By any chance have you ever read Transhuman Space or Eclipse Phase? Are there anything like Bioroids (Artificial Humans), gene engineering, animal uplifting, etc., and how far has AI progressed. I would think that robots are ubiquitous, but what about different types of A.I.? Also, what is the status of cybernetics?
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner May 2, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
By the 2090s genetic engineering and bionics have more or less merged to create Bio-Android components for drones and human augmentation (think Altered Carbon). AIs can achieve human level intelligence, though the creation of sentient AIs is tightly regulated. Originally a few hundred thousand sentient AIs were accidentally created during the late 2060s and early 2070s when AIs were programmed using neural nets that were essentially copied from existing humans. The nets were then simplified, but mistakes were made and the world wound up with a shitload of robots and computers demanding civil rights. There was a non-human rights movement in the 70s and 80s. Non-sentient AIs are pretty much perfected, and are used for just about everything. Production of material goods has been completely replaced by advanced 3D printing and robotics, while human and AI artisans, engineers, and scientists are the last real professions.
Reply
:iconrogueleader1000:
RogueLeader1000 Featured By Owner May 2, 2014
Ah I see. About some of the geopolitics:

1. I see that Taiwan and Mainland China have merged. Since the ROC. was a puppet state of America, was China united under that gov't?
2. Washington D.C. was probably flooded when the sea levels rose. What is the current U.S. capital?
3. Are flooded cities being rebuilt, are rebuilt, or abandoned?
4. What is the relation of Korea, Japan, Chukotka, Kamchatka, Luzon, and Papua New Guinea to the U.S. Are they relatively independent protectorates, satellites, complete puppet states that are territories in all but name, etc.

Also, small note, the Cook Islands are mislabeled as New Zealand territory when they should be American.
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner May 2, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
China was reunited with some help from the US. During the 2020s China managed to take its economy into a controlled decent in an effort to see wealth more evenly distributed between the coasts and the interior, and achieve some semblance of normalcy... then the South Greenland Ice Sheet fell into the Ocean and sea levels rose 7 meters, and China fell back into bad habits. It fragmented across the periphery and foreign powers carved out spheres of influence across the rest of the country. By WWIII the US was supporting nationalist movements in China to counter the Japanese and the Turks. This led to the reunification of Mainland China and Taiwan (which the US was already using as a go-between for its interests in South China for many years).

DC, or rather the National Mall an a few surrounding buildings, was saved from severe flooding thanks to hastily constructed Sea Walls (same story for Manhattan and Boston). The capital remained in DC until flooding was reversed, but storms would occasionally force a temporary relocation of the US government to Philadelphia.

The flooded cities were being rebuilt after the Earth-Working Group's geo-engineering program drained or refroze most of the world's excess water down to Pre-Anthropocene sea levels.The EWG tried to fund some of the reconstruction, but the money had started to run out after the new African Megalakes were created, so work was largely isolated to historic and economically critical areas. Local governments invested where they could, and private investments picked up some of the slack, but Queens, Alexandria, Tokyo, Shanghai, Lagos, and London are all a LOT smaller than they are today.

Those areas are a combination of fully independent allies, satellites, and protectorates in a free association with the United States. Good catch on the Cook Islands.
Reply
:iconmicrowavedreams:
microwavedreams Featured By Owner Mar 8, 2014
Hold on, wait a second. So to combat to rising seas you drain the the world's oceans into mega lakes to reduce the sea level. I'm fine with that, and all, but then you geoengineer the planet so that the poles refreeze. Wouldn't the refreezing of the poles coupled with the megalakes make sea level lower than normal?
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Mar 8, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
The Megalakes are for the meltwater of the South Greenland glaciers which can't realistically be refrozen and maintained in the long run. The thinking goes that rather than leave the solar shields in polar orbit long enough to refreeze all of Greenland and risk causing an ice age, leave southern greenland cold and snowy, but without glaciers, and simply drain the leftover water into new lakes where it would be needed anyway.
Reply
:iconmicrowavedreams:
microwavedreams Featured By Owner Mar 6, 2014
How much power do Mexico, Poland, Brazil, etc hold compared to the US? If you were to give historical example of the power ratios for them, what would they look like? 
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Mar 6, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Mexico is at parity with the US. Think Carthage to Rome. Brazil is a Great Power but its regionally locked in the South Atlantic. Think Spain to the British and French Empires of the 19th century. Poland is essentially the Soviet Union come again.
Reply
:iconwookiee173:
wookiee173 Featured By Owner Mar 5, 2014
Why has Kazakhstan balkanized?
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Mar 5, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
It happened after WWIII. The Alash state was intended to be a Chinese buffer against the Turkish sphere.
Reply
:icondammit-matsuda:
Dammit-Matsuda Featured By Owner Mar 4, 2014  Hobbyist General Artist
What about the status of global marijuana policy by that time? Had you thought of that? And if not, would you be able to outline any economic possibilities based on your created history?

Not just a sooner kid giggling about weed. It's a legitimate question.
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Mar 5, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
The Drug war ended sometime in the mid-2020s, but they were still highly regulated. This helped the economic transition of Latin America into modern countries with higher standards of living than most European countries by the 2090s (though they look more like third world countries by then). Marijuana is now as readily available as Tobacco, and provides a source of stable tax revenue like any crop. Most cash crops suffered during the flood as farmland became more scarce, but by the 2090s the largest producers were in the Americas and the Sahara Megalakes region. 
Reply
:iconmicrowavedreams:
microwavedreams Featured By Owner Mar 4, 2014
What would major changes in this timeline have been had there been no flood?
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Mar 5, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
WWIII would have been much smaller, with only a few thousand deaths instead of tens of thousands. Denver wouldn't have become the largest city in the United States and the US's borders would probably be very similar to what they are today rather than annexing the whole of the anglosphere. Africa would still be pretty worse off since the megalakes would never had been needed. Support for terraforming Mars wouldn't have been nearly as strong and therefore Earth's population would be about a billion people larger by the mid 2090s, meaning a worse economic crisis and more unfair deportation program in the US to Mexico, meaning that the Second Mexican American war would have definitely been a civil war as well, and the US probably would have lost the South West to Mexico.
Reply
:iconmicrowavedreams:
microwavedreams Featured By Owner Mar 5, 2014
Denver. I get it, but i didn't see that coming. Very nice. 
But besides that, do think this century will see the Flood? In you way you portrayed it? 
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Mar 5, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Perhaps. I think that we will see significant sea level rise, and I also think humans will solve the problem with geoengineering, its just a question of scale.
Reply
:icontwisterace:
TwisterAce Featured By Owner Mar 4, 2014
I can see World War IV possibly erupting between the United States and an alliance of Mexico, Poland, and maybe the Guardiolas.

Also is there any civil unrest on Mars or the other solar colonies, like separatist movements seeking independence from U.S. rule?
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Mar 4, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
There is a small, but growing separatist movement on Mars, but they're far and away overshadowed by groups simply demanding their rights as Americans, and the odd O'Neil ship that tries to experiment with forms of government like neo-Maoism or Jeffersonian Fascism, but they're usually put down quite fast
Reply
:iconzifker:
Zifker Featured By Owner Mar 4, 2014
It just occurred to me, but since Mexico, Brazil, and Poland are all superpowers now, which of them are nuclear-armed?
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Mar 4, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
All of them. Nukes are over 150 years old by now, most great powers have them to some degree.
Reply
:iconzifker:
Zifker Featured By Owner Mar 4, 2014
Which I'm guessing means the US has a space based ICBM counter weapon, and/or all major governments on Earth are active nuclear terrorist organizations...?
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Mar 4, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Laser autoturrets and the like are so common now that ICBMs are actually no longer in use. Tactical nukes are the preferred form of nuclear weapon, and most countries make only about enough of them for defending the heartland/core of their territories. This doctrine was largely what decided the end of WWIII, because ICBMs weren't a practical way to wage war, but tactical nukes protected Japan and Turkey from direct invasion of their most important territory.
Reply
:iconmicrowavedreams:
microwavedreams Featured By Owner Mar 3, 2014
So whats the story on Brazil and China? I've noticed both slowly building up spheres of influence, but much of that has gone unsaid. How much power do the two have? Both economy wise, military, etc.
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Mar 3, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
China has a limited presence in Central Asia to counter the Turks, but they've had to retreat inward as they face instability at home. Brazil was being countered by the US through Argentina, but now they're being quietly supported as Mexico rises.
Reply
:icondeltax10:
Deltax10 Featured By Owner Mar 3, 2014
id be having my 100th birthday at this time. What is the current human life expectancy? Mars is post-scarce but the Earth is not? It looks like Mexico and Brazil have begun to expand their spheres of influence outside their language zones. How unified is the Mediterranean Union? Karakalpakistan? is that serious? Is Liberia a State? Any unusual government types?
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Mar 3, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
As of 2094 the average lifespan is about 150, but most projections put it closer to 200. Mars and the rest of the colonies are post scarcity because they have adequate space elevator access and a unified government to see that goods and services from across the system flow to where they are needed; Earth only has 3 elevators, no global transit network, and too many conflicting interests keeping late period capitalism alive. The MU is unified economically and politically among the elite, but its a tenuous union at best. Liberia is a state, and there are always odd governments, psuedo Kings, generalissimos, oligarchs, etc. But, Eurasia is such a mess I can't really keep track of it.
Reply
:iconmwd671993:
mwd671993 Featured By Owner Mar 2, 2014  Student Writer
When I come up with a map idea, can i put under your guys page?
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Mar 3, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
MapsandFlags? Sure.
Reply
:iconmwd671993:
mwd671993 Featured By Owner Mar 3, 2014  Student Writer
Thanks.  And I got a good backstory to go with it.  My ORIGINAL (and NOT TO BE COPIED - AKA, STOLEN FROM ME) story
Reply
:iconmicrowavedreams:
microwavedreams Featured By Owner Mar 1, 2014
Does the UN still exist at this time? 
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Featured By Owner Mar 1, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Nope, it was dissolved around the 2040s, though there have been attempts to revive it.
Reply
:icongigoxxiii:
GigoXXIII Featured By Owner Mar 2, 2014  Hobbyist General Artist
If it ever did reappear it would need major reforms considering how ineffective the UN generally is on most issues these days due to a lack of proper power and the horrible set up of the security council with five vetos...
Reply
:icongigoxxiii:
GigoXXIII Featured By Owner Mar 1, 2014  Hobbyist General Artist
Doesn't seem like it, probably wouldn't do a damn thing anyway since It's a useless organisation these days.
Reply
:iconmicrowavedreams:
microwavedreams Featured By Owner Mar 1, 2014
You're right. I checked an earlier post, and he did mention it was discontinued in around 2030
Reply
:icongatemonger:
gatemonger Featured By Owner Mar 1, 2014
Is Mexico deliberately searching for allies where it can obstruct strategic waterways? If so that's a very intelligent touch on a well thought out scenario.
Reply
Add a Comment:
 
×
Download PNG 5712 × 2986




Details

Submitted on
February 28, 2014
Image Size
7.5 MB
Resolution
5712×2986
Link
Thumb
Embed

Stats

Views
5,880 (1 today)
Favourites
59 (who?)
Comments
62
Downloads
415
×