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2035: The Rising Tide by YNot1989 2035: The Rising Tide by YNot1989
The collapse of Russia, the Labor Shortage, Climate Change. These are the great events that shaped the Blakanization in the first half of the 21st Century. With the end of the Little Cold War in 2023, the Eurasian Union, and ultimately Russia (the Union State) ceased to exist, fragmenting across ancient cultures long since forgotten by the world until that point. The Tartars, the Don Cossacks, and the Yakuts all found themselves independent for the first time in centuries, while the Finns retook their long lost Karelian territories, while the Visegrad Gruop poached numerous territories from Western Russia. Any semblance of order has taken a decade to emerge, made no easier by an endless effort to secure former Russian nuclear arms from upstart powers like the Samara Republic.

While Russia fragmented, China's economic troubles over the last ten years finally came to fruition in the Market Crash of 2027. While China had officially been in a state of recession for more than nine years, the Crash of 2027 made deep demographic problems in the Chinese, and ultimately the world economy apparent. With the loss of the south Greenland Ice Sheet in 2025, and the subsequent rise in global sea levels by 7 meters, China found themselves facing open revolt in much of the country, a revolt that cost them the territories on their western peripheries and made their northern border porous to foreign influence. To prevent the collapse of the world's third largest economy, the US, intervened directly, pumping over a trillion dollars into the Chinese economy and deploying US Naval detachments to provide relief to refugee flooded cities like Hangzhou. China's collapse also spelled the end for a number of Cold War era institutions like the World Bank, which was never able to secure any significant capital from cash strapped European powers, who were dealing with their own refugee crisis in the low countries. This is often seen as the direct precursor for the eventual dissolution of the United Nations, as American interests in China conflicted with those of Japan, a country desperate for labor to supplement its demographic crisis of an aging population and a xenophobic culture.

As the developing world's coastal cities drowned, across the globe, only the wealthiest cities managed to save themselves from falling beneath the waves by hastily constructed sea walls. Tokyo, Washington DC, New York, and London all found themselves fighting to survive against the seven meter rise in global sea levels. CO2 production had finally stymied by the 2030s with the Electric Vehicle revolution, but the demand for energy put ever greater strain on the global economy, even with Helium-3 shipments from Luna and new improvements in Solar energy. All of this was ultimately secondary in the global zeitgeist when compared to the Population Crisis that drove the Recession of 2027. The election of 2028 saw a new administration that made several attempts to save the global economy with economic theories left over from the Reagan and Obama administrations, but to no success. This led to the election of Dylan James Price to the Presidency. President Price pushed for an aggressive immigration incentive program to attract skilled immigrants to the US to close the labor gap met by an aging population and increased global demand for high tech goods and services. This is where a silver lining to the rising tide became apparent; as more urban centers found themselves underwater, the displaced populations could fill the labor shortage in the developed world, taking advantage of the new immigration incentives, none more aggressive than those of the United States and Canada (though with the first people's more aggressive calls for independence, Canada was still far behind the US in incentives). Millions of Burmese, Thai, Vietnamese, Nigerian, Chinese, Indian, and Bengali immigrants flooded into North America as their home countries drowned, driving the United States population to 400 million citizens.

While the United States took an incentive approach to solving its demographic problem, the Turks and Japanese took a more direct approach. With the fall of Russia, and China in such a weakened state, the Japanese and Turks took more aggressive military action to secure their regional interests, and export industry to surrounding territories to supplement their population problems. Turkey was aided by ancient ethnic ties to neighboring states and a grateful US, who supported their effort to stabilize the Middle East, while Japan exploited the power vacuum in Eastern Pacific Rim to secure national interests. It was in these years that the seeds for a new global conflict were sewn.
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:iconmicrowavedreams:
Why did Italy split?
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Mar 8, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
As climate change got worse what was left of the EU started allocating money to try and save Atlantic Europe from flooding, and Southern Italy, already fed up with the rest of Europe's economic woes, broke away.
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:iconmicrowavedreams:
Makes sense. Also, i noticed that in your older 2nd Renaissance timeline the flood ended up being the thing that unified Europe into a single entity. What changed your mind?
Reply
:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Mar 10, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
I'm now of the opinion that humans would rather selfishly covet their own lives and treasure rather than risk them to help other humans when there is no apparent benefit to them.
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:iconjrlc66:
you need to look at the volume of the ocean have dropping the floor ocean 1000 5000 feet 12 years earthquakes volcano it start year 1983 the hawaii 
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:icondaniocean:
I can see that you always put Bulgaria as either unaffiliated or in the wrong alliance(sphere). I wonder, is this due to your lack of knowledge on the region, or is it due to you actually think it will take such positions?

Since I hail from there, I can tell you that the nation will choose the wrong side in the Little Cold War and then it will split up, both due to internal political divisions, long-cultivated prejudice toward some minorities(Gypsy and Turkish) and the fact that the US will like to split it between the Turks and the Poles. The North, which have better historic ties with Poland will join the Visegrad Group, while the South(populated by Turks and Gypsies self-identifying as Turks) will seek to form it's own nation and along with some major bulgarian business interests will secede and join the Turkish sphere.

P.S. For those wondering, Bulgaria is at the Northern European border of Turkey.
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Feb 12, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Interesting insight, but I usually just ignore Bulgaria because its in the Balkans, and I could claim just about anything happens down there and it wouldn't matter.
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:icondaniocean:
Yup, this is generally true, but I think in this case it is relevant, due to Turkey and their confrontation with the Visegrad Group(btw, I love this name), during WWIII. Well if nothing else it will contribute to the realistic quality of the map.
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:iconynot1989:
YNot1989 Feb 13, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Not my name. Its real.
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:iconmicrowavedreams:
So this isn't a timeline specific question, but what are your views on Friedman's perception of China not being a major player? While he's gotten a lot right, other things and problems slated to happen for the country just...haven't happened. How would a timeline for the next 10 years of China look like for you?
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